Tuesday, August 31, 2010

8-31-10: Balance




When this balance area violates itself either up or down, look out if it's done on above average volume. It will probably have to be somewhat of a chase entry and those can be difficult. But if it is truly a break from balance then it should be a significant move.

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

8-17-10: Tuesday -- Stealth Buying


It's always interesting to find that the market is always showing it's hand -- in one way or another.

Yesterday at the close, I noticed persistent positive readings in the cumulative tick indicator for the prior thee days (which is just a running total of upticks and down ticks of the NYSE TICK) despite price grinding moderately lower to neutral.

I was going to post this last night, and now that today was a big gap up and go day, I can't procrastinate any longer : )

Monday, August 16, 2010

No Parking


Trading is one of those activities that's "state dependent".

That is, if you are frustrated, angry and/or find a way to trigger the blood flows away from your brain's pre-frontal cortex, then you are not going to be able to "see" clearly. Rich perceptions available to you when relaxed can vanish remarkably quickly -- with stealth.

Having read The Psychology of Trading by Dr. Steenbarger at least 5 times over the last 4 years or so, I've had the concept of state dependent perception at my mind's forefront for quite awhile.

To be a functional observer of myself and articulate "Hum, I'm frustrated now and I need to watch out for a mental lack of clarity" has not easy at all. In fact, it's been impossible over the years as I've done so much damage to myself and my trading account simply because I've NOT BEEN ABLE to observe my state shifts.

It was so embarrassing this weekend... I went to go see family over at the beach. We were late. I did not know the area well. I was frustrated. I saw the "no parking" sign and immediately went into the script of being fearful about getting a ticket. I looked at the sign numerous times but still decided to find another parking place due to the conclusion that we could not park here.

I totally missed that the sign also said Saturdays and Sundays only.

And we were there on a Tuesday.

When my sister later on candidly pointed out what the sign said, and I looked at the sign while in a relaxed state, I wanted to crawl into a hole.

Just like, so many times, how I've looked back at a trading day where loss limits were breached due to frustration -- and how much I wanted to crawl into a hole. The person who traded so destructively was "not me".

Becoming aware of the dynamics underlying why I did not see this parking sign clearly is a prolific conquest in my personal development.

Anytime now frustrated talk enters the picture during my trading, it's time to take a break : ) I value my implicte knowlege accumulated over the years and no longer want to trade without that edge!

8-16-10: Monday -- Trade of the Day


This market has been printing excellent transitional structure setups now for the last few days. And today was no exception.

Thursday, August 12, 2010

8-12-10: Thursday --- Transitional Patterns in Play



After yet another true gap down below yesterday's range, today did what it's been doing a lot lately -- The gap gets faded from the get-go and the herd going with the gap pays the price.

The ensuing balance structure following the A period open drive allowed the astute traders to key in on TICK, volume, and delta to read the buying and selling drying up at range extremes.

Also, extreme sediment readings in the TICK that failed to break price out of the range extreme, also was a significant tell.

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

8-11-10: Trend Day Down




A couple of quickie things to point out about both yesterday's and today's action.

1) Yesterday's significant negative internal readings manifested themselves in a down day today. Yesterday's afternoon U-turn back to range highs was a fake out.

2) Today's trend day down, was a true trend day down, as a result of a couple of tendencies that are common about this structure: A) The move down is the 1st significant down thrust after an extended up move (Daily time frame). B) TICK moving average did not print above the zero all day on the 10 minute TICK chart from Tradestation.