Two way auction process!
Today was a little tricky intra-day without a lot of accumulated experience.
But with yesterday's squeeze event, I was very suspicious of the mid-session base above VWAP -- Normally a high odds situation for further movement higher.
But structure gave it's clues.
No huge flags by my eye to anticipate further downside -- other than the fact it's about freaking time for a Big Red.
But I'm not going with downside unless blatant structure indicates to do so.
High odds, the inventory goes back higher again tomorrow.
Tuesday, July 29, 2014
Monday, July 28, 2014
Buyers Will Be Buyers
Ah, bull markets.
Initial balance inventory look down reversal and VWAP respect -- two nuances to embrace as a day time frame participant.
Trade of the day buying that VWAP pullback.
Initial balance inventory look down reversal and VWAP respect -- two nuances to embrace as a day time frame participant.
Trade of the day buying that VWAP pullback.
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
As Expected
Our analysis was spot on as the market gapped up and probed new all time highs.
But TICK was very lethargic at a very important minor high zone, and a little bit of inventory correction came into play.
For tomorrow, we are a bit worried about the minor high as a buyer. And as a seller, we are really worried about the fact that it's a picture perfect bull market.
Odds go to the buyers. A failure quickly shifts that to the sellers!
But TICK was very lethargic at a very important minor high zone, and a little bit of inventory correction came into play.
For tomorrow, we are a bit worried about the minor high as a buyer. And as a seller, we are really worried about the fact that it's a picture perfect bull market.
Odds go to the buyers. A failure quickly shifts that to the sellers!
Monday, July 21, 2014
Bull Checkmark
We said lower was low odds on Friday, with balance or breakout most likely for today's session.
What we got today was typical bull market structure. Small gap down, low confidence move lower, and a mechanical reversal at 8:00.
What we got today was typical bull market structure. Small gap down, low confidence move lower, and a mechanical reversal at 8:00.
And from there it was just short covering as the balanced check mark day unfolded!
All systems go for a breakout to new highs unless news comes in.
Friday, July 18, 2014
Two Way Auction!
Can you say "two way auction process"?
Yesterday's rip lower produced a rip higher for today!
Once the short covering got underway from the morning 90 minute balance, a clear trend day higher unfolded. With all of the laggard shorts caught from yesterday, the structure was as clear as a bell.
The overnight session stop gun, rip out, was classic too.
Come Monday, this market probably breaks out to fresh all time highs.
But after to rip-roaring days, a balanced session would not surprise.
Yesterday's rip lower produced a rip higher for today!
Once the short covering got underway from the morning 90 minute balance, a clear trend day higher unfolded. With all of the laggard shorts caught from yesterday, the structure was as clear as a bell.
The overnight session stop gun, rip out, was classic too.
Come Monday, this market probably breaks out to fresh all time highs.
But after to rip-roaring days, a balanced session would not surprise.
Thursday, July 17, 2014
3rd Day 9:00 Response
Markets came alive today on the heals of the initial balance HOD reversing so perfectly at range highs.
Skyrocketing VIX:
But intra-day was still very programmed, and a 12:00 east coast time bounce occurred yet again for the 3rd day in a row. Nice trade there.
But the upside move failed and the coil at range lows triggered a nice liquidation event down to multi-week lows. With the double top high in above, that was good structure in which to engage for a short side try. I'd have taken if at the desk.
More falling after hours as I type this:
Is this market finally in for it?
Or do the programmed buyers step in again?
Hell, it's going to take WW3 to get this market down.
Or will it?
Skyrocketing VIX:
But intra-day was still very programmed, and a 12:00 east coast time bounce occurred yet again for the 3rd day in a row. Nice trade there.
But the upside move failed and the coil at range lows triggered a nice liquidation event down to multi-week lows. With the double top high in above, that was good structure in which to engage for a short side try. I'd have taken if at the desk.
More falling after hours as I type this:
Is this market finally in for it?
Or do the programmed buyers step in again?
Hell, it's going to take WW3 to get this market down.
Or will it?
Wednesday, July 16, 2014
Same As Yesterday
Today's action was very similar to yesterday's.
Morning inventory auction lower and finding support at 9:00, with balance for the rest of the day.
Morning inventory auction lower and finding support at 9:00, with balance for the rest of the day.
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