Monday, June 10, 2013

Lazy Balance

So what is up with these low volume Mondays?

Let's take a look at similar volume readings back to April and see if there are any patterns.



Now starting with today and going backwards to the other instances...










Conclusions:  

1) The trend is your friend -- especially in monolith creeper-grinders.  All of the days finished green except for today and 4-1.  But today was basically unchanged and the divergence is not significant.  4-1 had a morning liquidation move but ran into support just below the prior day's range -- indicating no real selling event going on.  

2) Range extreme tests of prior sessions are high odds for a reversal response within the context of mostly inside range sessions.

3) Each day featured neutral extreme sediment readings.

4) The 4-8 Monday morning balance gave way for a double distribution breakout that closed on highs.  Goes to show just how the tight balance principle can really launch price -- even without big volume.  And how the daily trend can be a powerful influence even on low volume days.

5) Finally, play for tight targets, respect those range extremes and don't out-think the trend.

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