Our bias was correct buyers would take it higher. And our suspicions about the quality of yesterday's auction were also correct.
We did previously mention the all-mighty-cosmic-powers of the gap? Right?
Geez!
Today was nothing short of a subsequent beat down, taking out and shooting all of yesterday's long inventory -- and then some.
The downwards action was tricky early going. Frankly, I saw little signs of a vicious trend move lower unfolding. IB balance volume was lower than yesterday's, a multi-month low in fact. (We note this on the slides) Only a viciously trending TLT had me wary.
The collapse broke a few patterns that have been tried and true as responsive buying was nowhere to be found.
So, it's very clear now that the market has indeed changed as 3 of the last 4 sessions have opened higher and sold off. It sure feels "different" this time, like longer time frame sellers are at work.
This market has a lot of support zones close at hand. Tomorrow is high odds for balance after today's trend day.
A lot of inventory is very short now, but if they want to take it down more fine.
They could print many more days like this in a row. And a buyer responsive bid would not surprise at all either.
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